Study in progress·— issue days·Daily observations
← Overview

DOGE · Risk profile · 7d

Issued 2026-10-27 · target close 2026-11-03 · 00:00 UTC

What is the recorded DOGE 7d price corridor?

The DOGE 7d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $0.0688 to $0.0859 for the closing price at 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 85.0%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.

Recorded DOGE corridor, issued 2026-10-27, 7d horizon.
AssetHorizonLower boundUpper boundImplied probabilityReference stop
DOGE7d$0.0688$0.085985.0%$0.0687
Definition and evaluation method →

Corridor

Lower bound$0.0688
Upper bound$0.0859
Declared P85.0%
Reference stop$0.0687
Statusopen (target close 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC)

Tail probability (7d)

P(down > 5%)31.7% (base: 31.3%)
P(up > 5%)16.3% (base: 18.7%)
P(down > 10%)11.0% (base: 8.2%)
P(up > 10%)8.0% (base: 12.1%)

Baseline

180d base rate37.4% (within ±3%)
Model P33.3% (within ±3%)
Divergence−4.1 pp (more cautious)

Regime

Current regimenormal
Interpretationno regime-specific note

Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger