What is the recorded XRP 24h price corridor?
The XRP 24h corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $1.25 to $1.37 for the closing price at 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 85.0%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 24h | $1.25 | $1.37 | 85.0% | $1.25 |
Corridor
Lower bound$1.25
Upper bound$1.37
Declared P85.0%
Reference stop$1.25
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (24h)
P(down > 5%)4.8% (base: 2.7%)
P(up > 5%)5.8% (base: 4.9%)
P(down > 10%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)
P(up > 10%)0.9% (base: 2.2%)
Baseline
180d base rate80.8% (within ±3%)
Model P74.0% (within ±3%)
Divergence−6.7 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimenormal
Interpretationno regime-specific note
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger