What is the recorded XRP 3d price corridor?
The XRP 3d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $1.22 to $1.41 for the closing price at 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 85.0%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 3d | $1.22 | $1.41 | 85.0% | $1.19 |
Corridor
Lower bound$1.22
Upper bound$1.41
Declared P85.0%
Reference stop$1.19
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (3d)
P(down > 5%)15.5% (base: 11.5%)
P(up > 5%)12.3% (base: 11.0%)
P(down > 10%)2.7% (base: 0.5%)
P(up > 10%)4.6% (base: 4.4%)
Baseline
180d base rate58.2% (within ±3%)
Model P52.5% (within ±3%)
Divergence−5.7 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimenormal
Interpretationno regime-specific note
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger