What is the recorded BNB 24h price corridor?
The BNB 24h corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $721 to $763 for the closing price at 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 82.9%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNB | 24h | $721 | $763 | 82.9% | $714 |
Corridor
Lower bound$721
Upper bound$763
Declared P82.9%
Reference stop$714
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (24h)
P(down > 5%)2.2% (base: 1.6%)
P(up > 5%)1.9% (base: 2.7%)
P(down > 10%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)
P(up > 10%)0.5% (base: 1.1%)
Baseline
180d base rate90.1% (within ±3%)
Model P84.6% (within ±3%)
Divergence−5.5 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimelow-vol
Interpretationmodel is conservative here
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger