What is the recorded BNB 3d price corridor?
The BNB 3d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $703 to $776 for the closing price at 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 81.8%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNB | 3d | $703 | $776 | 81.8% | $658 |
Corridor
Lower bound$703
Upper bound$776
Declared P81.8%
Reference stop$658
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (3d)
P(down > 5%)10.2% (base: 4.9%)
P(up > 5%)7.1% (base: 7.7%)
P(down > 10%)2.0% (base: 2.2%)
P(up > 10%)0.7% (base: 3.3%)
Baseline
180d base rate70.9% (within ±3%)
Model P64.0% (within ±3%)
Divergence−6.9 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimelow-vol
Interpretationmodel is conservative here
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger