What is the recorded BNB 7d price corridor?
The BNB 7d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $680 to $791 for the closing price at 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 83.2%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNB | 7d | $680 | $791 | 83.2% | $603 |
Corridor
Lower bound$680
Upper bound$791
Declared P83.2%
Reference stop$603
Statusopen (target close 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (7d)
P(down > 5%)17.8% (base: 10.4%)
P(up > 5%)13.2% (base: 16.5%)
P(down > 10%)6.0% (base: 2.7%)
P(up > 10%)2.7% (base: 6.0%)
Baseline
180d base rate47.8% (within ±3%)
Model P48.9% (within ±3%)
Divergence+1.1 pp (less cautious)
Regime
Current regimelow-vol
Interpretationmodel is aligned with history
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger