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LINK · Risk profile · 24h

Issued 2026-10-27 · target close 2026-10-28 · 00:00 UTC

What is the recorded LINK 24h price corridor?

The LINK 24h corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $10.88 to $11.95 for the closing price at 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 85.0%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.

Recorded LINK corridor, issued 2026-10-27, 24h horizon.
AssetHorizonLower boundUpper boundImplied probabilityReference stop
LINK24h$10.88$11.9585.0%$10.83
Definition and evaluation method →

Corridor

Lower bound$10.88
Upper bound$11.95
Declared P85.0%
Reference stop$10.83
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC)

Tail probability (24h)

P(down > 5%)6.2% (base: 4.9%)
P(up > 5%)6.9% (base: 8.8%)
P(down > 10%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)
P(up > 10%)0.8% (base: 2.2%)

Baseline

180d base rate74.7% (within ±3%)
Model P67.3% (within ±3%)
Divergence−7.4 pp (more cautious)

Regime

Current regimelow-vol
Interpretationmodel is conservative here

Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger