What is the recorded LINK 3d price corridor?
The LINK 3d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $10.49 to $12.32 for the closing price at 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 85.0%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINK | 3d | $10.49 | $12.32 | 85.0% | $10.30 |
Corridor
Lower bound$10.49
Upper bound$12.32
Declared P85.0%
Reference stop$10.30
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (3d)
P(down > 5%)18.4% (base: 12.6%)
P(up > 5%)16.0% (base: 21.4%)
P(down > 10%)3.8% (base: 3.3%)
P(up > 10%)4.5% (base: 6.0%)
Baseline
180d base rate45.1% (within ±3%)
Model P43.5% (within ±3%)
Divergence−1.6 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimenormal
Interpretationno regime-specific note
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger