What is the recorded TRX 24h price corridor?
The TRX 24h corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $0.3256 to $0.3333 for the closing price at 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 74.3%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRX | 24h | $0.3256 | $0.3333 | 74.3% | $0.3200 |
Corridor
Lower bound$0.3256
Upper bound$0.3333
Declared P74.3%
Reference stop$0.3200
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (24h)
P(down > 5%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)
P(up > 5%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)
P(down > 10%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)
P(up > 10%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)
Baseline
180d base rate97.3% (within ±3%)
Model P97.8% (within ±3%)
Divergence+0.6 pp (less cautious)
Regime
Current regimelow-vol
Interpretationmodel is aligned with history
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger