What is the recorded TRX 7d price corridor?
The TRX 7d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $0.3190 to $0.3391 for the closing price at 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 70.2%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRX | 7d | $0.3190 | $0.3391 | 70.2% | $0.3073 |
Corridor
Lower bound$0.3190
Upper bound$0.3391
Declared P70.2%
Reference stop$0.3073
Statusopen (target close 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (7d)
P(down > 5%)5.9% (base: 4.4%)
P(up > 5%)4.0% (base: 4.9%)
P(down > 10%)0.5% (base: 1.1%)
P(up > 10%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)
Baseline
180d base rate75.3% (within ±3%)
Model P69.7% (within ±3%)
Divergence−5.5 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimelow-vol
Interpretationmodel is conservative here
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger