TRX · Risk profile · 3d

Issued 2026-10-27 · target close 2026-10-30 · 00:00 UTC

What is the recorded TRX 3d price corridor?

The TRX 3d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $0.3226 to $0.3358 for the closing price at 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 73.7%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.

Recorded TRX corridor, issued 2026-10-27, 3d horizon.
Asset	Horizon	Lower bound	Upper bound	Implied probability	Reference stop
TRX	3d	$0.3226	$0.3358	73.7%	$0.3155

Definition and evaluation method →

Corridor

Lower bound$0.3226

Upper bound$0.3358

Declared P73.7%

Reference stop$0.3155

Statusopen (target close 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC)

Tail probability (3d)

P(down > 5%)1.7% (base: 3.3%)

P(up > 5%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)

P(down > 10%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)

P(up > 10%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)

Baseline

180d base rate90.1% (within ±3%)

Model P88.8% (within ±3%)

Divergence−1.3 pp (more cautious)

Regime

Current regimelow-vol

Interpretationmodel is conservative here

Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger