What is the recorded ADA 3d price corridor?
The ADA 3d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $0.1865 to $0.2268 for the closing price at 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 85.0%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 3d | $0.1865 | $0.2268 | 85.0% | $0.1793 |
Corridor
Lower bound$0.1865
Upper bound$0.2268
Declared P85.0%
Reference stop$0.1793
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (3d)
P(down > 5%)25.3% (base: 20.3%)
P(up > 5%)17.9% (base: 20.3%)
P(down > 10%)7.1% (base: 3.8%)
P(up > 10%)7.2% (base: 9.9%)
Baseline
180d base rate37.9% (within ±3%)
Model P36.2% (within ±3%)
Divergence−1.8 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimenormal
Interpretationno regime-specific note
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger