What is the recorded ADA 7d price corridor?
The ADA 7d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $0.1751 to $0.2347 for the closing price at 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 85.0%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 7d | $0.1751 | $0.2347 | 85.0% | $0.1575 |
Corridor
Lower bound$0.1751
Upper bound$0.2347
Declared P85.0%
Reference stop$0.1575
Statusopen (target close 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (7d)
P(down > 5%)36.8% (base: 37.9%)
P(up > 5%)21.5% (base: 29.1%)
P(down > 10%)18.1% (base: 18.1%)
P(up > 10%)11.6% (base: 19.2%)
Baseline
180d base rate16.5% (within ±3%)
Model P25.8% (within ±3%)
Divergence+9.4 pp (less cautious)
Regime
Current regimenormal
Interpretationno regime-specific note
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger