What is the recorded SOL 24h price corridor?
The SOL 24h corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $96.43 to $105 for the closing price at 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 84.5%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 24h | $96.43 | $105 | 84.5% | $95.92 |
Corridor
Lower bound$96.43
Upper bound$105
Declared P84.5%
Reference stop$95.92
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (24h)
P(down > 5%)6.0% (base: 3.3%)
P(up > 5%)6.0% (base: 6.6%)
P(down > 10%)0.5% (base: 0.5%)
P(up > 10%)0.7% (base: 1.6%)
Baseline
180d base rate72.0% (within ±3%)
Model P70.6% (within ±3%)
Divergence−1.4 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimelow-vol
Interpretationmodel is conservative here
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger