What is the recorded SOL 7d price corridor?
The SOL 7d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $88.55 to $112 for the closing price at 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 84.3%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 7d | $88.55 | $112 | 84.3% | $81.94 |
Corridor
Lower bound$88.55
Upper bound$112
Declared P84.3%
Reference stop$81.94
Statusopen (target close 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (7d)
P(down > 5%)26.8% (base: 20.9%)
P(up > 5%)20.6% (base: 24.7%)
P(down > 10%)11.7% (base: 8.8%)
P(up > 10%)9.4% (base: 16.5%)
Baseline
180d base rate35.7% (within ±3%)
Model P35.3% (within ±3%)
Divergence−0.4 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimenormal
Interpretationno regime-specific note
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger