What is the recorded SOL 3d price corridor?
The SOL 3d corridor issued on 2026-10-27 spans $92.70 to $108 for the closing price at 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC. Its recorded model-implied probability is 84.1%. These locked bounds are daily-close estimates, not intraday limits or verified accuracy.
| Asset | Horizon | Lower bound | Upper bound | Implied probability | Reference stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 3d | $92.70 | $108 | 84.1% | $88.46 |
Corridor
Lower bound$92.70
Upper bound$108
Declared P84.1%
Reference stop$88.46
Statusopen (target close 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC)
Tail probability (3d)
P(down > 5%)17.9% (base: 12.1%)
P(up > 5%)14.5% (base: 16.5%)
P(down > 10%)4.8% (base: 3.3%)
P(up > 10%)3.5% (base: 4.9%)
Baseline
180d base rate51.1% (within ±3%)
Model P46.6% (within ±3%)
Divergence−4.5 pp (more cautious)
Regime
Current regimelow-vol
Interpretationmodel is conservative here
Mathematical estimates, not financial advice.
Two-sided Weibull · Append-only research ledger